Live Signals
◈ Sports Probability Intelligence · Est. 2025

Find Your Edge

Sharp Money Signals · Implied Probability · Market Intelligence
We surface the data. You make the call.

65%
▲ Model Accuracy · April 2026
33W · 18L · 74% CLV Grade A/B
April Accuracy
65%
33W · 18L on record
CLV Grade A/B
74%
beating closing price
Tonight's Slate
0
games analyzed
Edge Picks
0
strong signals today
April 2026 · Model Accuracy Rate33W · 18L · 65%
▲ 33 Correct▼ 18 Incorrect
Tonight's Slate

All probabilities are model outputs based on public data, market signals, and statistical analysis.
This platform surfaces implied probabilities and market intelligence — not financial or betting advice.
Analysis timestamped at time of publication · Data sourced from ESPN API, API-Football, The Odds API, Understat, TheSportsDB
For entertainment purposes only · 1-800-GAMBLER · Please bet responsibly

◈ Confidence Tiers
⭐ HIGH
Strongest Signal
5+ independent sources. Model/analytics confirmed. Highest conviction.
◈ SOLID
Strong Edge
4 sources confirm. Strong consensus, minor concerns only.
◈ MEDIUM
Decent Lean
3 sources. Mixed signals or one key unknown. Worth noting.
◈ VALUE
Plus Money Edge
2 sources. Clear edge on a plus-money underdog.
⚠ CAUTION
Posted with Warning
Edge exists but a known risk factor is present. Sized down.
— NO EDGE
Analysis Only
No strong edge today. Full data for your own research.
◈ Data Sources

Every data point is sourced and timestamped. Tap any card to see exactly where each stat came from.

Form / ResultsESPN API
Soccer Stats & H2HAPI-Football
xG DataUnderstat
Line MovementThe Odds API
Sharp Money %Action Network
UFC Fight HistoryTheSportsDB + UFCStats
WeatherOpenWeather API
Kalshi PricesKalshi API
Data pulled at session start · Analysis timestamped at time of posting
◈ Reading the Cards

Last 5 Form — shown under each team name. Includes W/L result, spread covered (ATS), and O/U result for team sports. UFC shows W/L and method.

H2H Record — shown in the VS center. Tap the card for full matchup history.

Tap any card to flip to the analyst take, data sources, and full H2H history.

◈ Edge Markets · Kalshi Intelligence Layer

Market Intelligence

Our model probability vs live Kalshi market price.
The gap between them is the signal. You decide what to do with it.

Kalshi
Federally Regulated Prediction Markets
● API Connected Read-Only
Active Markets
14
across all sports tonight
Strong Gaps 10pt+
4
model vs market
Our Picks on Kalshi
3
marked in gold
Avg Gap Found
+9.4
pts vs market price
Model % = Our probability Market = Kalshi price Gap = Signal strength ◈ Gold border = our pick

Model probabilities are mathematical outputs — not trading recommendations.
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market. The gap is a signal, not an instruction. All decisions are yours.
For entertainment purposes only · 1-800-GAMBLER · Bet responsibly

◈ Position Sizing

Category score gates entry. Quarter Kelly standard. Gap size refines sizing.

Score 30–500.25u max
Score 50–700.5u max
Score 70–850.75u max
Score 85–1001.0u max
◈ Signal Windows
UFC Weigh-in Miss~10 min
NBA Injury Report5–15 min
Soccer Lineup Drop30–45 min
Reverse Line Move30–60 min
Weather Change60+ min
◈ Portfolio Rules
Max per market1.0u
Max correlated1.5u total
Max daily exposure3.0u
Hard block belowScore 30
Drawdown pause at-3u streak
🎯
Props Coming Soon
Player prop analysis is being built.
Points · Assists · Rebounds · Goals · Strikeouts · More.

Check back soon.
◈ Model Performance · April 2026

Insights & Analytics

Full model transparency. Every signal tracked. CLV graded. Nothing hidden.

65%
▲ April Accuracy
33W · 18L · 74 picks logged
April Record
65%
33W · 18L
CLV A/B
74%
beating close
Conf Correct
81%
tiers validated
Sharp Aligned
68%
of picks posted
Best Sport
UFC
75% this month
Avoids Saved
8
traps flagged
◈ Monthly Win Rate All Sports
April 202665%
▲ 33W▼ 18L
March 202659%
▲ 29W▼ 20L
February 202662%
▲ 24W▼ 15L
◈ Performance by Sport April 2026
◈ Weekly Quick Hits Apr 7–13
✅
What Went Well
Rest-edge plays went 3-0 this week. NBA B2B fades covering at 80% on the month. The rest model is our strongest signal right now.
❌
What Didn't
Soccer DNB plays missed twice — missing key attackers not caught in time. Framework updated: confirmed lineup now required before any DNB posts.
⚡
Edge of the Week
Forest Under 2.5 at +101 via Goal Buy Protocol. Model 66% — market 54%. Kalshi gap +12pts. Watkins out + Forest low-block. Textbook signal alignment.
◈ Model Health All Systems
Total Picks Tracked74
Picks with CLV Data68 of 74
Sharp Aligned Picks50 of 74 · 68%
RLM Caught14
Injury Flags That Mattered11
Avoid Calls (Traps)8
Kalshi Crossovers12
Data Sources Active7 of 7
◈ Model Status
All Systems Operational
💬
Feedback
Found an error? Have a suggestion? See something off in the analysis?
Tell us. Every submission is anonymous. No account required. No tracking.
◈ Submit Feedback
🔒
100% Anonymous We do not collect your name, email, or any identifying information. Your IP address is not logged. This data is used only to improve the platform.
◈ What We Act On
❌
Wrong AnalysisIf our data is factually wrong — wrong score, wrong stat, wrong team — we correct it immediately and note the correction in Insights.
📊
Data ErrorsWrong line, wrong odds, wrong source cited — we fix it and update the source tracking.
🎯
Pick FeedbackDisagree with our analysis? Tell us why. We take counter-arguments seriously — they make the model better.
💡
Feature RequestsWant a sport, stat, or feature added? We log every request and prioritize by volume.
◈ Data Accuracy Standard

Every stat on this platform is sourced from a named API. We do not estimate or guess. If a source is unavailable, the field is left blank — not filled with a guess.

Analysis is timestamped at the time of posting. If conditions change after publication (injury confirmed, line moves significantly), we flag the change.

True followers will notice errors. We want them to tell us.

◈ Live In-Game Intelligence · Real-Time Signals

Live Edge

Score · Win Probability · Line Movement · Active Signals
Triggers fire when the market hasn't priced it yet.

4
GAMES ON TONIGHT
● Signal Feed Active Kalshi Gap Scanner Live
🔴 LIVE
🚨 RED CARD TRIGGER → Under immediately · 60-120s window ⚡ FOUL TROUBLE 3 fouls Q1/Q2 → Fade that team · 3-5 min window 📊 xG DIVERGENCE +0.8 at 60min → DNB or ML live value · 15-20 min ⚠️ VELOCITY DROP -2mph + 85 pitches → Live Over or ML shift ✅ 6-QUESTION CHECKLIST required before every live play · Max 3 plays/session 🚨 RED CARD TRIGGER → Under immediately · 60-120s window ⚡ FOUL TROUBLE 3 fouls Q1/Q2 → Fade that team · 3-5 min window 📊 xG DIVERGENCE +0.8 at 60min → DNB or ML live value · 15-20 min ⚠️ VELOCITY DROP -2mph + 85 pitches → Live Over or ML shift ✅ 6-QUESTION CHECKLIST required before every live play · Max 3 plays/session
◈ MLB · TONIGHT'S SLATE
◈ NBA · FINAL
◈ SOCCER · UPCOMING

Live signals are model outputs based on real-time data. Speed is the edge — windows close fast.
Run the 6-Question Checklist before every live play. Max 3 live plays per session. Never chase.
For entertainment purposes only · 1-800-GAMBLER · Bet responsibly

◈ Sharp Money Feed
◈ Sharp signals update each session · Check back after noon CST
◈ Kalshi Gap Scanner
Model vs Market · 7pt+ threshold
◈ Live gaps update automatically · Loading tonight's markets...
◈ 6-Question Live Checklist
1. Trigger identified?Required
2. Book not priced yet?Required
3. Window open?Know it
4. Live data confirms?Required
5. Break scenario ID'd?Always
6. Line is +EV?Required
◈ Signal Windows
Red Card (Soccer)60-120s
Foul Trouble (NBA)3-5 min
Velocity Drop (MLB)1-2 innings
xG Divergence15-20 min
Blowout Under (NBA)Rest of game
◈ Live Sizing Rules
Max signal play0.5u
Contrarian fade0.25u
Max per game1.0u
Max per session3 plays
Never chaseHard Rule
● Analysis Active
🏆
World Cup
2026
June 11 – July 19 · USA · Canada · Mexico · 104 Matches · 48 Teams
Days Until Kickoff
--
June 11, 2026
Hours
--
Counting down
Minutes
--
Real-time
Seconds
--
Live
◈ Tournament Favorites · Model Implied Probability to Lift the Trophy
${[{f:'🇫🇷',n:'France',p:18,m:'+380',no1:true},{f:'🇦🇷',n:'Argentina',p:14,m:'+500'},{f:'🇧🇷',n:'Brazil',p:12,m:'+600'},{f:'🇩🇪',n:'Germany',p:10,m:'+700'},{f:'🇪🇸',n:'Spain',p:10,m:'+750'},{f:'🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿',n:'England',p:9,m:'+800'}].map(f=>`
${f.no1?'
FAVORITE
':''}
${f.f}
${f.n}
${f.p}%
Model Prob
${f.m} market
`).join('')}
◈ Model Analysis · Key Signals
◈ BEST VALUE PICK
Spain +750
Model has Spain at 10% — market implies ~12%. Possession system structurally undervalued in knockout tournaments historically. Our largest pre-tournament value gap.
◈ WATCH SIGNAL
Portugal vs USA
Rose Bowl · 90,000 USA fans. Model 56% POR. If line moves to -115 or less after USA money floods in — textbook Reverse Line Movement signal. Monitor from open.
◈ DOMINANT OPENER
Mexico vs Kazakhstan
82% model probability — highest single-match probability in the group stage. Tournament opener at AT&T Stadium with 80,000+ Mexican fans. Kazakhstan's World Cup debut.
◈ SHARP SIGNAL
France -240→-290
Sharp money moved France from -240 to -290 vs Senegal since draw was confirmed. 18% model probability — our strongest pick to lift the trophy. Mbappé at 27, prime window.

All probabilities are model outputs only — not betting advice.
Groups and schedule reflect projected draw. Analysis updates as tournament progresses.
Kalshi World Cup markets open June 1 · Full schedule analysis posted closer to kickoff.
For entertainment purposes only · 1-800-GAMBLER · Bet responsibly · © 2026 EdgeCard.co